Vulnerability is dynamic: Enhancing adaptive governance to climate change for Caribbean tourism through interactive modelling

Millions of tourists visit Caribbean islands annually to enjoy resort properties, beaches and coral reefs. Coastal tourism destinations, however, are under threat from climate change manifested by sea level rise and intensifying hurricanes. Adaptation is crucial to limit the harm to local people. Tourism adaptation policies are informed by an expanding yet static scientific understanding of the ecological and social vulnerabilities involved. This research takes a dynamic approach and uses agent-based modelling (ABM) to engage local actors in interactive modelling to analyse vulnerability and adaptive governance strategies as they change over time in response to natural processes and social interactions.